Ukraine Strikes Russian PAO and Fuel Hub Again

Ukrainian drones struck Tatneft’s Taneco refinery in Nizhnekamsk, Russia, on Aug. 10. The attack was the latest in a campaign targeting an industrial hub that supplies Russia’s fuel and petrochemical sectors and is home to the country’s sole producer of polyalphaolefin base stocks.

Ukraine’s General Staff said the strike was intended to reduce Russia’s military potential and that a fire was recorded at the refinery. Russian authorities said 13 people, including a child, were killed and 39 injured. The casualty figures could not be independently verified.

The attack was the third consecutive month in which Nizhnekamsk’s industrial zone was targeted. Ukraine reported strikes on Taneco and nearby TAIF-NK on June 12, followed by two reported attacks on TAIF-NK in July, on July 8 and July 31. Kyiv identified Taneco as the target of the Aug. 10 strike.

Taneco is one of Russia’s largest refineries. It processed 17 million metric tons of crude in 2024, producing 2.7 million tons of gasoline and 8.5 million tons of diesel, according to Reuters. The refinery also has capacity to produce 90,000 tons per year of API Group II base oils and 100,000 t/y of Group III base oils.

Nizhnekamsk, in Russia’s Republic of Tatarstan about 800 kilometers east of Moscow, is also home to Sibur-owned Nizhnekamskneftekhim, Russia’s sole producer of PAO Group IV base stocks.

Nizhnekamskneftekhim restarted PAO production several years ago as Russia sought to reduce its dependence on imported synthetic lubricant components following Western sanctions. The company also produces synthetic rubber, plastics and other petrochemicals used by Russia’s tire, automotive and chemical industries.

The repeated attacks are adding pressure to Russia’s fuel supply chain, according to independent energy analyst Mikhail Krutikhin. He said refinery disruptions in the region have contributed to shortages of Euro 3 and Euro 4 gasoline and long queues at filling stations, while Moscow is seeking overseas supplies to compensate for lost output.

Krutikhin pointed to Nayara Energy’s Vadinar refinery in Gujarat, India, in which Rosneft holds a 49.13% stake. He said Rosneft could export crude to the refinery and arrange for petroleum products to return to Russia through Murmansk.

He said Rosneft-linked trade relies on opaque tanker and logistics arrangements to reduce the risk of cargo detention in the Baltic as European Union sanctions enforcement increases. The Black Sea is a less viable alternative because wartime conditions have curtailed operations at major ports, including Novorossiysk and Tuapse, while increasing shipping risks.

“The fuel crisis will only aggravate,” Krutikhin said, as continued attacks and reduced refinery output limit Russia’s ability to restore supply.

For the lubricants market, the concern is the cumulative effect. Prolonged disruptions across the Nizhnekamsk industrial cluster could affect the availability of fuels, base oils, PAO feedstocks and finished lubricants.

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