U.S. Gulf of Mexico
The U.S. Gulf is still not a good place for owners to have open tonnage as the options are very limited for getting away again afterwards. Gulf-to-Caribbean routes have seen a degree of activity on the palm oil and tallow front, along with some small chemical parcels, but essentially there are still too many vessels plying these waters which mean that inevitably some ships will become idle.
It has been a slower week than the previous one. Contractual volumes have been adequate in the North Sea and Baltic, but spot business has declined. The southbound market into the Mediterranean, especially into the Eastern Med, had been expected to quieten following the proposed hikes in import duty in Turkey. Base oils were one of the commodities targeted with an immediate increase but this has not deterred traders who continue to fix base oils into Turkey from Northwest Europe and the Med.
Asia
There has been so much activity on the domestic Asian market that nearly every route is tight for September. Paraxylene is especially busy into Taiwan and China, and charterers are now quoting early October stems due to the scarcity of tonnage. The situation is not helped by the number of ships that took palm oil cargoes into the Indian Ocean where they are now languishing, finding it hard to get cargoes back to Asia again.
Where September dates are critical, expect to pay a substantial premium to secure a ship on the right dates.
Export demand is also fuelling the tightness. On the chemical front there are benzene and sulphuric acid cargoes to the Americas, the benzene going to the U.S. and the acid primarily to Chile or Brazil. It is the palm oil market however that is really driving this market, and owners are bragging about fixing rates well in excess of $100/t for 20,000 ton cargoes to Northwest Europe. What they perhaps fail to mention is that they may have ballasted their ship half way round the world to get into the Malacca Straits to load, which takes the shine off the rates somewhat.
As mentioned, the Middle East Gulf-India market is beginning to sag from the influx of palm oil ships, while demand to transport chemicals back to Asia has not really picked up since Ramadan. Various plants are not operating fully, and lifting from Iran is not to everyones liking. There are reports however that suggest China should begin importing more methanol shortly, which may help this route.
Westbound space to Europe is balanced to tight.
Adrian Brown is senior market analyst for chemicals and base oils with SSY Shipbrokers, London. Information about SSY can be found at www.ssyonline.com. Adrian Brown, in the U.K., can be reached at fix@ssychems.com or by phone at +44 1207-507507. In the London office SSYs Jordi Maymi can be reached at fix@ssychems.com or +44 20 7977 7560.